Do package bees have a higher failure rate?

This is a question I've been asking after reading many accounts of hive failure, as I've tried to understand my own (hive failure). I didn't come to this conclusion myself, but read it of those who seem to have a better success rate with nucs  or swarms rather than packages. Has anyone else had this experience or come to this conclusion? It's another hesitancy in trying to start up with bees again. Not that nucs aren't locally available, but they are all fit for Langstroths and I have Warrés. I would dearly love more voices of experience on this idea.

50% of hives die so you need 2 hives, so that one can repopulate the other.
So I normally recommending having 3 hives to have a bit of safety.

Colonies started from local wild swarms have been honed by natural selection, and will have very high survival rates. My hives coming from local swarms ONLY, had zero losses this winter (but it could be 10% to 20% depending on year). My apiaries are completely treatment-free.  A treatment-free friend beekeeper in Kansas with 137 colonies (all coming from local wild swarms genetics) only lost 2 hives.  If you want to understand why swarms survive much better than package bees or nucs, I highly recommend Dr. Tom Seeley's The Lives of Bees (it's based on his 40 years of research of wild honeybees, and lessons for beekeepers - for example, Seeley found that the average lifespan of wild colonies in upstate New York is more than 6 years - without any treatments, of course - so if you tap into this survivor genetics, your results will be very different from buying commercial bees with low disease resistance).

Leo, thank you for the recommendation. I've read about survivor bees, and it seems that because package bees are generally from chemically managed bees, they likely have greater difficulty with more natural techniques. All three of my colonies absconded, and I'm not sure of the reason (except skunks as I've mentioned in other threads). In replacing them, I'd rather look at options other than packages.