What does this permaculture business model look like?
Land (Buy outright, mortgage, lease) Figure this has a payback period of X years…some might suggest 30 year mortgage, but I would try to think of this as a 10 year term for no other reason than to eliminate debt.
Taxes
Housing
Seed
Land Management (engineering, shaping, sculpting, design, etc)
Equipment
Utilities (electricity, fuel, etc)
Sale Price of Product to Consumer (What product(s) are you targeting as a business?)
I am a newbie regarding permaculture, but as a concept it is logical. The discussion point made repeatedly in this thread is that the future is unknowable and the ethics of preservation outweigh profit. This is not sustainable. If your farm is not profitable, then you won't be around to do anything for the land. Having a sense of the costs (and some of the risks) at the outset is a must…yes, you can and will still see unknown challenges.
If you begin with a statement that you want the farm to net (after taxes, etc) $100,000.00 (US). Assume the government will take 1/2 of your money in various taxes across the various levels. Also assume that your expenses are about 1/2 of your cost of revenue.
$400,000.00 (Revenue)
-$200,000.00 (Expenses)
=$200,000.00 (Profit before Taxes)
-$100,000.00 (Taxes)
=$100,000.00 (Profit)
When I put it in that context I am presuming no salary is being paid to the owner. This is a common business model. This model gets scaled the larger the revenue number because covering overhead costs, which are often fairly static, gets easier as the revenue grows.
$200,000.00 (Revenue)
-$100,000.00 (Expenses)
=$100,000.00 (Profit before Taxes)
-$50,000.00 (Taxes)
=$50,000.00 (Profit)
I haven't tried to go through and determine what the business model actually is with real expenses and pricing, but this is how I would begin.
The thing I've noticed is that the "products" are not going to be at significant volumes since you are doing polyculture. I'm also fairly skeptical about the costs actually being lower. Labor appears to be the gate to this model, not necessarily a game breaker, but it is a very real challenge to scale towards financial independence. The costs saved via polyculture are offset by the costs of harvesting small volumes…repeatedly.
The value to land improvement and sustainability is important and cannot be ignored, but if you can't pay the bills, then again it doesn't matter much how much you WANT to save the planet.
I am not saying to not use this methodology. I certainly appears to be a reasonable approach on a small scale, but having it be the primary path for family income seems to be a stretch at least on first glimpse. The piece that I keep coming back to in my business mind is the "niche-up" as some have put it. Identify a component that you are passionate about and pursue it. Do the polyculture for your own foodstuff and mix in some more focused "mono-culture" or something approaching it in a more blended fashion to enable you to specialize and compete in pricing & enough volume of high quality product to generate a focused revenue. Jim Collins would call this the Hedge Hog Principle, what can you be the best in the world at while being profitable? I don't think it matters much if it is making handcrafted tools, wine, jellies, smoked ham or medicinals…but I do think you need a comprehensive strategy…even one that changes every 3-5 years. You could attempt the generalist approach with a good old fashioned General Store, but I suspect you would end up bringing in other suppliers' farm goods which don't meet your "ethical" permaculture standards.
This is some pretty compelling stuff regarding the holistic approach to agriculture. I would love to hear some feedback on the different components in the model above. I think the land quality and how quickly you see it being productive dictates how much capital you need to start, but am definitely open to everyone's thoughts.