paul wheaton wrote:
One person's kooky is another person's gold.
My gold is testing things and removing those things that do not work, my gold is not what other people consider gold.
What makes you think that Brian gets less rain?
the belingham area got rain in the summer of 2010, or at least some parts of it did, if he didn't then that is a factor that is different.
I have now read your analysis of Brain's stuff. I have gobs to say. More than I care to convey in a post. The quick summary is: I'm 100% with Brian on this one.
Well that was an off the cuff idea, there isn't enough data for me to do an analysis, and with what you have presented I don't see any evidence that he has done an analysis beyond "I sprayed the spray and after that I got no mildew. No mildew happened after I sprayed... after this there for because of this.... Post hoc ergo propter hoc
." That suggests very strongly that some connection is there, but it does not establish it.
There could be a million other things going on that would confound the data. There is observational bias, which all humans have, there could be a difference in the night time temps he experiences, or the daytime temps, or the humidity could spike or plummet based on some fact about his specific geography and microclimate. He could have a fungus in his soil that sustains a colony of mites that eat the spores from the powdery mildew and leaves him with clean leaves. I just don't want to accept that that is the cause until someone can be seen to have done something, even the most basic of experiments, that would be able to separate out if it is the spray or something else.
It's not that Steiner had kooky ideas that upsets me, Newton was an alchemist and I'm not against gravity because of it, it's the fact that he immunized his philosophy against testing, when you do that you also immunize your self against progress.