Monica Rocha wrote:
Cj Verde wrote:
John Elliott wrote:While I like what Adam has to say, and while I hate to be a downer, I have to bring everyone back to Earth (Gaia, if you will), and point out that we have been living on borrowed time. The fact that the world didn't fall apart in the 60s and 70s and 80s ...
It's a logical fallacy to say that since the world didn't fall apart in the past few decades it won't ever fall apart.
Also, the 20th century saw so many societies fall apart I'd have a hard time listing them all.
I think is argument is exactly that, Verde. He is saying that just because it didn't happen before doesn't mean it won't happen now. Thanks for the podcast by the way.
I wonder why the Pacific Northwest has such a threat of drought, keeping it in mind.
Cj Verde wrote:
John Elliott wrote:While I like what Adam has to say, and while I hate to be a downer, I have to bring everyone back to Earth (Gaia, if you will), and point out that we have been living on borrowed time. The fact that the world didn't fall apart in the 60s and 70s and 80s ...
It's a logical fallacy to say that since the world didn't fall apart in the past few decades it won't ever fall apart.
Also, the 20th century saw so many societies fall apart I'd have a hard time listing them all.
John Elliott wrote:Australia....really? Have you thought this through looking at what the heat and drought is doing there?
One of the short slogans of the climate modelers is: "dry places are going to get dryer and wet places are going to get wetter". Australia is already quite dry and they are going to have their hands full trying to adapt to less rain. A lot of their wheat growing land may have to convert to sorghum or millet to be able to make a crop.
When I had the choice of where to settle, I opted for a wet place, although I have spent most of my life living in dry places. Even still, the increased variability of rainfall, months of "below average" followed by weeks of non-stop rain is giving me a lot of difficulty in adapting.
Probably the most pessimistic view of collapse comes from Guy McPherson, who thinks humans are going to go extinct this century. Gwynne Dyer looks at it from the geopolitical point of view, and it ends up being "Grim 'n' Dire". Other names to search on YouTube are James Hansen, Richard Alley, Michael Mann, and Jennifer Francis for the science of Climate Change. The big picture is included in the scenarios covered by the 1972 work "Limits to Growth", and Dennis Meadows is still giving talks and updates on it 40 years later. Once you've acquainted yourself with the YouTube content on the subject, you should be able to Google yourself to the printed material.