posted 17 years ago
It's an interesting argument. I think what you're saying is that if we forced all vehicles to convert to using the grid, we would then be able to just focus on getting the grid up to snuff.
The question then becomes what does that transformation look like?
One scenario is a de-centralized one in which individual households generate their own power and feed back into the grid. You're right that rate of adoption here is increasing, but not remotely aggressively enough to make a significant difference. Something significant in the way of unheard-of government incentives or price reduction to make the technology more widely available would be required to kick the growth rate into the exponential levels.
The other scenario is a massive public-private joint venture to rebuild the grid in a centralized way. Something like Scientific American's "Grand Solar Plan" which takes 40 years, $150 billion dollars, but gets the entire nation completely running from Southwest solar power. There are a number of reasons why this is a more likely outcome, and more likely to be the path taken. In this case, the grid will need to transformed into a DC grid.
In either case, it's an interesting idea to mandate the leap to electric automobiles as a forcing function to transform the grid. But in either case, the grid transformation takes time, so we would increase co2 emissions significantly in the short term to attempt to force longterm benefits...
Brave New Leaf - Everyman Environmentalism
http://www.bravenewleaf.com