Predicting government reactions is hard and getting harder. Many governments are trying to maintain order and citizen cooperation by promising +/- actually delivering money to people in need. The problem is that money has to come from somewhere and no one's talking about the huge debt this is creating on top of already indebted nations. If this results in greater rates of country insolvencies, that will put huge pressure on neighboring countries and more international refugee issues, if the areas have no resiliency.
As Holmgren suggested at the end of the essay, all of them, all at once, in pockets determined by the availability of resources and the flavour of political will.