Jay Angler wrote:I've been thinking about the entire concept of Economics:
a) sustainability
b) is the whole greater than the sum of the parts
c) is it realistic to look at economics as "constant growth"
Trees grow until they die. A resource is only renewable, if it stays near where it was created. When we export a whole tree overseas (which is being done in North America) we are exporting carbon, which will return to us as air moves all over the planet. But the phosphorus, and many other minerals in that tree will only return to the valley through means such as volcanic action locally, or dust from the atmosphere. Trees, with the help of mycorrhizae, can and do bring many minerals from deep in the earth to the surface, but reading books on coppicing, tells me that this is not necessarily a speedy process - even coppicing needs to be done with sustainability in mind.
The local people need livelihoods. Most humans given the option, will not want to live the way people did 500 years ago. So figuring out truly sustainable local employment needs to be evaluated carefully. To me, the first step is truly sustainable energy. Much of modern technology/farming/housing etc is completely dependent on fossil fuels directly or indirectly. For example, if the area develops the tourist trade, how many of those tourists will arrive by plane or car? If they arrive by electric car, where will the electricity come from to recharge those cars? Where will the energy come from to build the roads used to take tourists to the places they want to see, or hunt, or fish, etc? What are the natural resources which would allow the people to produce a net energy gain when you subtract all the embodied energy that many "green" energy sometimes seems to gloss over? I believe there are ways. Yes, some "damage" may result from installing sustainable power generation, but Nature has shown tremendous capacity to heal damage if give the support she needs to do so. But I think that an important first step is to look at the resources available and determine how energy can be captured responsibly for a very long time.
A resource can be renewable with export but I think that the modern export process is so completely out of whack in volume and in time scale with the reality of sustainabilty that your statement sadly rings very true. And it is true that the closer a resource stays to its source location, the easier it is to close the loops of sustainability and create actual regenerative ecosystems and economies. The phosphorus issue is one that many don't discuss or don't know about, and it is serious for agricultural nutritiional crops. I'm pretty sure that the trees will adapt with their genetics to phosphorus-poor soils, but in the end, if ecoystem health is our priority (as the provincial government says it is heading toward), then we should not be exporting anything. Our mutual province, British Columbia, is guilty of exporting massive amounts of trees in current decades and is still doing so; this is being done completely unsustainably as far as ecology is concerned. In most cases, it is done in areas which have hundreds of years of replacement time for the same volume in others where the climate is more conducive (like on Vancouver Island) the volume is being much more rapidly replaced but the ecology is diminishing with each harvest cycle.
Energy is going to be a huge need. And the way those needs will be met will likely involve a lot of small-scale hydro projects, with some solar, wind, and gasification.
"Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world; indeed, it's the only thing that ever has."-Margaret Mead "The only thing worse than being blind, is having sight but no vision."-Helen Keller