John F Dean wrote:...Much depends upon the size of the pig, your location, and the breed of the pig.
I would add that ecosystem matters a little, and whether the animal will be inside full time, or have a good paddock and only use the shelter for warming up as needed.
The smaller it is, the easier for the animal's body warmth to keep the space warm. This is also why a 4 ft ceiling is an asset, because warm air rises. A lot of cold comes from the ground, so straw under the animal helps with warmth as does making sure the rain/water has somewhere else to drain to.
However, in my ecosystem, we don't get really cold, but we do get really wet, and that can be just as great a risk for animals. People can get hypothermic much quicker than expected if they get wet at our temperatures, than staying dry at colder temperatures.
Also, I'd consider which direction the winter storms tend to come from. In my area, our worst winter storms actually come from the South-east which surprises many people who generally think that North and West are where the cold comes from. Once I understood the mechanism (it involves mountains and bodies of water) it makes sense, and I've certainly observed this tendency, but we all live in actual places and the environment can influence what really happens, so it's worth observing and thinking about.