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Can changes in crop rotation allow big ag to eliminate the need for synthetic fertiliser?

 
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On a small scale, it's relatively easy to add urine or manure to crops. But could it be possible for big ag to transition quickly to growing without the use of synthetic fertiliser? I hit the AI search assist to see if I could pull up some ballpark figures to play with, and this is the result. I can't vouch for the accuracy...

How much fertiliser can you save by growing peas as part of the rotation?
Growing peas can enrich the soil with up to 200 lbs of nitrogen per acre, significantly reducing the need for synthetic fertilizers in subsequent crops. This natural nitrogen fixation helps maintain soil fertility and supports sustainable farming practice

How much nitrogen is added per acre to grow wheat?
Wheat typically requires about 90 to 120 pounds of nitrogen per acre, depending on soil type and yield potential.

What is the typical crop rotation for wheat in the usa?
A typical crop rotation for wheat in the USA often includes corn and soybeans, with wheat being planted every three to four years.

How much nitrogen is added per acre to grow corn?
The amount of nitrogen needed for corn typically ranges from 200 to 240 pounds per acre, depending on the yield goal and other factors such as previous crops and soil conditions.

What is the typical crop rotation for wheat and corn in the usa?
A typical crop rotation for wheat and corn in the USA often includes a corn-soybean-wheat rotation, where corn and soybeans are grown in alternating years, with wheat added every few years.

How much nitrogen can you save by growing soy as part of the rotation?
Growing soybeans can provide a nitrogen credit of approximately 30 to 50 pounds of nitrogen per acre for subsequent crops.

Why does the usa grow so much soy?
The U.S. grows a significant amount of soybeans primarily because over 90% of domestic soybean production is used for animal feed and biofuels, making it a crucial crop for the agricultural economy.

What is the main use for corn grown in the usa?
The main use for corn grown in the USA is for animal feed, which accounts for about 40% of its total production. Additionally, a significant portion is also used to produce ethanol, making it a key component in biofuel production.

Why does canada grow so many dry peas?
Canada grows a significant amount of dry peas because of its ideal climate and soil conditions, particularly in the Prairie provinces, which support high yields. Additionally, dry peas are a sustainable crop that helps improve soil health by fixing nitrogen, making them beneficial for crop rotation.

What does canada do with all the peas it grows?
Canada exports more than 80% of the peas it grows to over 120 countries, primarily for human consumption and livestock feed. The largest markets for Canadian peas include China and India, where they are used in various food products and animal feed.

The first impressions I get from looking at those figures are that peas could supply pretty much all of the nitrogen needed if they were grown as a more frequent part of the rotation, replacing some of the corn and wheat growing years, especially the corn as it seems more nitrogen-hungry. Of course that would mean less corn could be used to raise meat, and people might have to eat more pea soup.

What am I missing? How could this be made to work?

 
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In my part of the world, the average dairy farmer grows corn to feed their cows. They feed them the whole plant along with hay and forage, and then manure the corn and the hay with what the cows poop out, mixed with sawdust and other organic matter and then composted: a mostly closed cycle. Not all these systems are organic or particularly ecological, but it is a more sensible system than having either in isolation.

I have seen cover cropping getting to be much more popular around here as well, appearing to eliminate some of the need for weeding. Anyway, the average farmer’s field is too big to weed by hand, so many don’t bother, and it doesn’t seem to matter whether they spray. My neighbors, though they use cover crops, still have weedy patches where nutsedge or foxtail grass are more prevalent. A different field I know of—they spray herbicides there I believe—has a large patch of datura and velvetleaf mallow that has taken over one section.
 
M Ljin
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If we composted our own manure, then the system becomes an order of magnitude cheaper and more efficient…
 
Burra Maluca
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I was mostly thinking of 'quick fix' solutions for big crop growers who can't source enough fertiliser in the next couple of growing seasons. In particular, ones that they could implement using the machinery they already have access to. Ones that would keep people fed and avoid the cost of food rising by an order of magnitude.

Peas seemed the obvious crop to replace synthetics, but it seems they only do well in the more northern states. But then cowpeas (black eye peas) also fix nitrogen at a high rate, much higher than soy, and grow happily in hotter climes.

It seems to me that figuring out ways for big ag to manage without all that toxic gick would be an awesome first step in getting them on the first rung of the ladder of the wheaton eco scale. I mean, why spend money on it if they've already figured out how to manage without it?
 
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They could also grow corn that fixes atmospheric nitrogen if they were just willing to decrease their yield.
 
Burra Maluca
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Christopher Weeks wrote:They could also grow corn that fixes atmospheric nitrogen if they were just willing to decrease their yield.


Ooooh interesting - I hope more work is being done to study this and incorporate the genetics into varieties that suit modern agriculture.



According to wikipedia this variety is Sierra Mixe corn

This variety grows unusually tall—up to 4.9 metres—and has aerial roots that secrete a mucilage that drips around the plant. This secretion supports the growth of symbiotic bacteria that fix nitrogen and so fertilize the plant.[1]

There is commercial and scientific interest in this variety, and its genetics are being researched to develop other self-fertilizing varieties that would reduce or eliminate the need for other fertilizers.


 
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Burra Maluca wrote:Ooooh interesting - I hope more work is being done to study this and incorporate the genetics into varieties that suit modern agriculture.


It's worth checking out the Mandamin Institute for more info on that. (You may recall a video I posted three weeks ago (https://permies.com/t/370621/lecture-called-Plant-breeding-Nature#3757849) -- you commented in my tinkering thread because I couldn't get the Vimeo embedded -- that was a lecture from the main Mandamin guy.)

But yeah, I guess I've sort of written off big-ag because I don't see how we get from here to there, but I'd love to be wrong! I'm mostly interested in the subject for my own acres.
 
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I think this is a double edged sword. Many Indigenous People in Mexico grow their own "local" corn. Big Ag encourages every Big Ag farmer to grow the same corn.

Nature doesn't like monocultures. Any change in our current system of farming that I've read about, has continued to push mono-cultures. And push maximum production over nutrition and soil health.

Since the Middle Ages, if not long before, humans have understood the concept of crop rotation benefiting the soil, even if they didn't know exactly why. Since then, humans have gone from 1 acre plots of a single plant to huge fields all of the same plant. As Paul has said in the past, the carrots all have to eat carrot poop.

There are absolutely some leading edge farmers in the US who have shifted to polycultures and have tried hard to get others to do the same. But if we can't shift enough independent farmers all at once, the big food companies are going to push the status quo because that's what make them the most money.

Even some of the farmers who have switched to polycultures, admit that most farmers need a way to do so gradually - starting with 1 acre and when it can make a profit, add 2 more acres and build like that.
 
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I found this paper which covers some of what I've been thinking about  -

Integrating legumes to enhance cereal production: The relative inputs of fertiliser nitrogen and legume biological nitrogen fixation in major wheat and maize producing countries

I pulled out some of what seem to me to be the most pertinent bits and posted them below...

****************************************************

Cereal crops dominate arable agriculture and underpin global food supply. Cereal grain yield is closely related to crop nitrogen (N) uptake.

An increased role for legumes

Legumes can contribute significantly to redesigned systems of cereal production. Not only would species diversity be increased in otherwise cereal-dominated cropping sequences

(i) Produce quality high-protein grain and forage without the need for fertiliser N). This is due to biological N2 fixation (BNF) through symbiotic relationships with soil bacteria, rhizobia, which typically satisfy between 40–80% of a legume’s N requirements depending upon the legume species and farming system.

(ii) Emit less GHG’s than N fertilised cereals during growth and, depending upon management and rainfall, systems that utilise legume residues as a source of N for subsequent crops generally have a lower risk of N losses than where fertiliser-N is used.

(iii) Induce beneficial changes in soil biology, structure, nutrient and water availability, as well as slowing the decline in soil organic C compared to cereal monocultures, and in some cases encouraging C sequestration  and.

(iv) Reduce the N fertiliser requirements for, and improve the N fertiliser use efficiency of, subsequent crops.

This paper aims to:

1. Describe the varied uses of legumes in agriculture and their global inputs of BNF,

2. Summarise the impact of different legume systems on cereal grain yield, biomass production, and N uptake across different geographic regions,

3. Compare the net inputs of legume N as BNF and in legume residues to cropping soils in the major wheat and maize producing countries to the amounts of N removed in grain and applied as fertiliser,

4. Calculate the extent to which areas of legumes would need to be increased in each country to match the current N offtake in wheat and maize grain or the N supplied by N fertiliser, and

5. Outline a range of prospective strategies that might be required to facilitate more legumes being grown by farmers in cereal-based cropping systems.

The effect of legumes on intercropped cereals

Intercropping wheat or maize with legumes frequently results in improved stability in the productivity of both cereal and legume crops, increased cereal uptake of N per plant and higher cereal grain protein contents than when the cereal is grown as a sole crop . It has widely been speculated that legumes contribute to the N nutrition of cereals in intercropping and mixed cropping systems via the direct transfer of legume N to cereals growing in the immediate proximity. Many different above- and below-ground mechanisms have been proposed that might conceivably facilitate such transfer. Various 15N-based technologies have been deployed in an attempt study these potential pathways for legume N. However, the interpretation of data can be complex and controversial as in reality N transfer is probably occurring in all directions; from legume to legume, from legume to cereal, and from cereal to cereal.

Legumes in major cereal producing countries and their N dynamics

The net inputs of fixed N play a key role in determining the rate of depletion of the soil N reserves over time and affect the organic N fertility of cropping soils. However, it is likely that the amount of N remaining in legume residues at the end of a growing-season will be a more important source of N contributing to soil mineral N status and the rotational benefits for following crops. The N removed in grain represented around half of the total amount of N accumulated by pulses and oilseed legume crops. The estimated amounts of N remaining in the above-ground legume vegetative residues and nodulated roots at the time of grain harvest in the 15 main wheat and maize producing countries corresponded to 23.2 Tg N.

Discussion

...estimates of BNF by grain legumes were found to be greater than the amounts of N removed in harvested legume grain in all 15 countries except the Ukraine. In other words, assuming no major post-harvest losses of N, grain legumes generally added to, rather than depleted, the N reserves of cereal cropping soils. The other main observation was that Brazil was the only country where net inputs of fixed N exceeded cereal grain N offtake and fertiliser-N supply, although the amount of residual legume N remaining after grain legumes either approached or surpassed cereal N demand in USA, India, Brazil, Argentina and Canada. Across the other ten countries, there were substantial shortfalls in the estimated annual amounts of legume residue N, especially in Pakistan, France and Germany where returns of legume N to cereal cropping soils represented < 10% the N harvested in wheat and maize grain N or applied as fertiliser.

Given that the 15 countries producing the bulk of the world’s wheat and maize grain also consume over 80% of the total N fertiliser applied to those two crops, the frequency of legumes in cereal-based cropping systems will need to increase in all the major cereal producing countries except Brazil and Argentina before legumes can make any meaningful global impact in reducing applications of fertiliser-N in future cereals systems. The size of this challenge is illustrated in the data in Table 8 which shows the degree to which the areas of grain legumes would need to be expanded to redress the present imbalance between legume and fertiliser sources of N to meet cereal N demand. These values have been derived from calculations of the shortfalls in the amounts of legume N returned to cereal cropping soils by assuming the increased legume areas consisted of the identical mix of legume crops currently grown in each country using the similar agronomic and stubble management practices as present, with the same rates of residual legume N return depicted in Table 6. The additional residual legume N achieved from a 10–32% increase in legume areas grown in India, USA and Canada was calculated to be sufficient to match current cereal N offtake and/or fertiliser-N supply, and possibly a doubling of the area of grain legumes might be necessary in the Russian Federation and Australia (Table 8). This conceivably could be achieved through fallow replacement, intercropping or the substitution of legumes in the place of minor small grain crops. However, in the case of the three to seven-fold increase in grain legume area needed in South Africa, Indonesia, Mexico and China, and the 12 to almost 30-fold greater area of legumes required in France, Germany, Ukraine or Pakistan (Table 8) any meaningful attempt to redress the current imbalance would entail a reduction in cereal area.

Table 8 Estimates of how much the area of legumes would need to be expanded in the future for returns of residual legume N to match current wheat and maize grain N demand or the amounts of N fertiliser applied by the 15 major wheat and maize producing countries. The additional legume area values are expressed in terms of Mha and as a percentage of the average areas grown in each country during the five-year period 2018–2022.



Conclusions

...in the absence of supplementary N fertiliser, wheat and maize grain yields, biomass, and N uptake are all higher in the first cereal grown following legumes compared to where the preceding crop had been a non-legume. Improvements in productivity and crop N-dynamics were also observed in the second cereal crop, albeit smaller than demonstrated in the first cereal, and there was evidence that legume rotational effects can persist into the third cereal cropping year.

However, integration of legumes into cereal cropping systems will need to be substantially increased in most countries before such benefits can be exploited to reduce the dependence of cereal production on synthetic N. To achieve this, it will be necessary to reverse the policy and trade-related decisions and shifts in consumer dietary preferences responsible for the long-term stagnation or decline in the global areas of some pulse species

*********************************************

It seems to me that Brazil and Argentina are doing something right!

And that the USA, India and Canada have it totally within their grasp to replace nitrogen fertiliser with increased legume prodution.

Whilst China, Ukraine, Pakistan, France and Germany are going to have their work cut out for them if the nitrogen fertiliser supply dries up!

My final take on this - EAT MORE BEANS!

I think I need to start a thread on favourite pulse recipes...

 
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I've a feeling what happened was that artificial Nitrogen was a quick fix which doubled your yield and didn't cost much so was a no-brainer for commercial farming.  Over the years it became the norm, and gradually the cost of fertiliser increased.  

Now we're at a point where there is a frankly ridiculous number of people on the planet and as a species we're dependant on Big Ag to provide metric sh*t-tons of grain, rice etc. so people don't all starve.  We're also dependent on the systems to distribute the food to cities.  

Now along comes (another) situation which increases costs, both fertiliser and transport, and there's a risk food prices will go up a lot.  

It's becoming imperative that we investigate, and invest, in more effective ways to grow the needed food in a more sustainable way.  Looking at that table in Burra's post, the US and Canada could probably do that without an enormous effort: there are legume crops that could be inserted into a crop cycle most places that wheat and corn are grown.  

What's needed for widespread adoption of this is to make it look good on the balance sheet, since that is what Big Ag is primarily concerned with - they're not really on a humanitarian mission to feed all the people, they're out to make money.  Yes, it's not permaculture but we can't switch the world to permaculture overnight however much we might want to or however desirable that is.

But if by creating more of a market for dried peas, black-eyes peas, or soya so those crops have a higher market value and at the same time they cut the fertiliser cost for growing wheat, well that to me looks do-able (and some places already do it, so that kinda proves it).  

If Big Ag can be shifted from let's say zero to one on the eco scale, that would be a step in a good direction, in my opinion.
 
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