Thanks Glenn for the advice. Are you saying that the grain shrinks less nearer the pegs?
Based on what the Federal Highway Department is saying, shear failure is the biggest potential issue for the shed type brace.
https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/publications/research/infrastructure/structures/04098/14.cfm
On the other hand, a "ships knee" type brace, or using a natural curving timber, can allow pegging twice on the plate and the post, effectively solving the problem. This also allows for head clearance in smaller structures. This approach is utilized in ship building, and Grindbygg timber framing.
Looks like pegging braces without a mortise is used quite often in traditional Norwegian timber framing, and can definitely stand the test of time. The North Folk House School mentions a barn built in 1867 using such a method:
https://northhouse.org/assets/uploads/blog_images/stranda_all.jpg
The key to that tradition pulling that off successfully seems to have been based on multiple decisions.
-Utilizing the technique indoors (Although the author of the article says this is of no significance, it may be because the sunlight could scorch the timber and cause it to warp. This would be especially important in Indiana, where I live)
-Using two braces and utilizing curved timber, so that that the bracing can be pegged multiple times.
-I'm noticing that the carpenters chose thinner pieces for the braces. Perhaps because thinner pieces shrink less/are quicker to season. Perhaps also because the strength of the brace relies on the pegs, not especially the brace timber. If anything a bulky brace would further stress the pegs.
-Use of half lapping the joints (but not always)
-*edit* it seems significant that the pegs are not cut flush
It's been a real rabbit hole. Pretty fascinating, would definitely speed up the building process and can stand the test of time. But perhaps not as satisfying to behold. Also, the fact that it's only used traditionally in Norway and Russia is kinda sus.... Makes me wonder if their lack of sun helps. However, bolts and nuts could solve that, as much as I hate the idea. Anyways figured I'd post my findings in case it's of interest to anyone.